The Transition to Hub-Based Gas Pricing in Continental Europe

This paper by Jonathan Stern and Howard Rogers argue that Continental European gas markets are moving inexorably from oil-linked to hub-based pricing. Market prices for gas increasingly reflect a complex combination of national regional and global supply and demand for gas rather than oil products. An increasingly competitive European gas market created by third party access enforced by a combination of EU and national regulations means that any supplier refusing to supply gas at hub prices will lose customers. The commercial risk for utilities which are importing gas at oil-linked prices under long term contracts but forced to sell at market prices has become untenable. The European gas industry is in the early stages of a commercial paradigm shift away from oil-linked and towards hub-based pricing. This is likely to be accompanied by major changes in contractual arrangements including termination of many existing long term contracts probably involving significant litigation.

By: Jonathan Stern , Howard Rogers

Latest Tweets from @OxfordEnergy

  • LNG in marine transport – is it about to become the environmentally-friendly fuel of choice? https://t.co/iN1e4pdLX7

    September 18th

  • OIES presentation quoted on impact of Iranian sanctions: oil market backdrop different with crude stocks below 5-ye… https://t.co/rwJaHHwzbk

    September 15th

  • OIES’s @thierry_bros on the need to move from oil to energy storage for the benefit of all - https://t.co/8yAzoF3pf4

    September 14th

Sign up for our Newsletter

Register your email address here and we will send you notification of new publications, comment, articles etc. automatically.