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Russia’s pivot to Asia has taken a long time to mature in the gas sector, but 2019 is set to be an important year as the Kremlin seeks to diversify its sources of export revenues. The Power of Siberia pipeline is due to come onstream at the end of the year, and before then agreements […]
In this latest Oxford Energy podcast James Henderson and Vitaly Yermakov discuss Vitaly’s forthcoming paper on Russia’s gas supply surplus. It has been widely documented that Gazprom has had 100bcm or more spare gas for potential export to Europe, but recent increases in production have reduced this figure. In addition, Vitaly outlines his concern that, […]
China is the world’s third-largest gas market – as well as its fastest-growing. Government policy, economic growth and reform of its gas pricing system are driving growth in demand at double-digit rates. The outlook for China’s gas market and its interaction with the wider world of global gas is both a major question for international […]
Since October 2018 Saudi Aramco has used the DME Oman daily settlement price in its pricing formula for Asian customers. The DME Oman futures contract settles daily, based on a weighted average of trades between 16.25 and 16.30 Singapore time (often referred to as a ‘window’). In line with the usual timing of Asian oil […]
Australia’s National Electricity Market is an important global test case of the impacts of electricity sector transition in a large-scale liberalized energy-only market. The integration of variable and distributed energy resources has provided opportunities for clean, low-cost generation, but has also challenged existing market frameworks and resulted in a debate about the necessity for new […]
China’s “War against Air Pollution” has seen considerable action from the Chinese government over the last few Chinese five year plans, initially focussing on SO2 and NOX with the later plans addressing particulate pollution. In this fascinating interview, Akira Miyamoto & Chikako Ishiguro, Visiting Authors at the OIES, discuss the measures taken against air pollution […]
Iraq has been a key contributor to OPEC liquids growth, with IOCs in southern Iraq having added approximately 1.7–1.8 mb/d (million barrels per day) in the period 2011–16. With renewed focus on medium-heavy sour markets in light of OPEC output policy, geopolitical supply-side disruptions and Asian refining dynamics, Iraq’s future role in oil markets is […]
Since the highs of 2010–14 the cost of liquefaction plants has fallen significantly – in some cases by up to a third for a similar scope. This paper reviews the costs of 25 plants constructed in the last 4 years and determines the reasons for these reductions. The reported project costs (CAPEX) are divided into […]
One of the major features of the latest oil price cycle has been the strengthened relationship and close coordination between two of the world’s largest oil producers: Russia and Saudi Arabia. This presentation analyses the evolution of Russia-Saudi Arabia oil relations and the prospects of this relationship from a Saudi perspective, by answering the following […]
This presentation given at the Centre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) discusses OPEC output cycles over the period 2008-2018 and how they have shaped the oil market outlook. It also outlines the main factors behind the rebalancing of the oil market and analyses the main trends shaping oil price outcomes in the short-term. The presentation concludes […]
In the face of challenges to energy-only market design under the electricity sector transition, an option considered by many jurisdictions is to incorporate some form of centralized capacity mechanism to respond to shortfalls in the market provision. For example, the UK government has already introduced a formal capacity market. In Germany and Belgium, strategic reserve […]
Since the COP 21 meeting in Paris in December 2015, there has been a growing realisation that with the long-term objective that the energy system should be approaching carbon-neutrality by 2050, continuing to burn significant quantities of fossil-derived natural gas will not be sustainable. If existing natural gas infrastructure is to avoid becoming stranded assets, […]
In November 2018 we will be holding our annual Oil Day.
The meeting will focus on four main themes:
• IMO 2020 Marine Fuel Sulphur Cap: Impacts on Shipping, Refineries and Petroleum Products Demand
• Insights into the relationship between oil price shocks and demand: Lessons from Previous Cycles
• A Deep Dive into the Russian Oil Sector: Economy, Oil Policy, Companies’ Strategies, and Supply Prospects
• A Deep Dive into the US Shale Rebound: Production, Productivity, Infrastructure and Business Models
For more information on the Oil and the Middle East Programme please click here.
In November 2018 we will be holding our annual Electricity day.
The meeting will cover three main topics:
Session 1: Why should active consumer participation be at the centre of the energy sector’s development?
Session 2: What market design and regulatory regimes (and reforms) are consistent with active consumer participation?
Session 3: What new business models and strategies can we anticipate involving active consumer participation in electricity markets?
For more information about our electricity programme please click here.
Trump’s Twitter an additional explanatory variable in oil price movements (4/4). https://t.co/e037HbsVvu
November 19th
With global output 1.8 mb/d lower, monthly Brent would have risen only to $83.1/b reflecting the fact that most of… https://t.co/2yBc4nuTcl
November 19th
OECD stocks would have still risen above their 5-yr average but the pace of stock build-up would have been slower a… https://t.co/VTrP9FbzTm
November 19th