Price Formation in Oil Markets: Some Lessons from 2009

This comment analyses the oil price dynamics in 2009 arguing that 2009 represents a remarkable year in at least two respects: it witnessed the sharpest increase in spot oil prices in decades; and in the second half of 2009 it exhibited a high degree of relative stability despite a very uncertain and volatile global economic environment. The 2009 price dynamics indicate that the existing frameworks for the analysis of oil prices need to be modified to take into account new features of the market and the interaction among the various players. Furthermore attempts to identify the relative importance of fundamentals versus speculation in explaining the last price cycle are of limited use. Instead one should attempt to endogenise the role of financial players and understand the conditions under which these players behave in certain ways.

By: Bassam Fattouh

Latest Tweets from @OxfordEnergy

  • A new OIES study reviewed by Interfax: Panama Canal is likely to reach its transit capacity for LNG tankers in the… https://t.co/cglkcnV87Z

    April 19th

  • India's plans to establish a gas trading hub are a good step to try and commercialise the use of gas in the economy… https://t.co/hB0FxkXwAv

    April 19th

  • New issue of Oxford Energy Forum discusses the disruptive impact of interactions between vehicle automation, electr… https://t.co/tJdwhva2xq

    April 18th

Sign up for our Newsletter

Register your email address here and we will send you notification of new publications, comment, articles etc. automatically.