This comment analyses the oil price dynamics in 2009 arguing that 2009 represents a remarkable year in at least two respects: it witnessed the sharpest increase in spot oil prices in decades; and in the second half of 2009 it exhibited a high degree of relative stability despite a very uncertain and volatile global economic […]
In the wake of the January 2009 Russia-Ukraine crisis, south east Europe began to receive more attention from the European gas community with the realisation that, for these markets, security of supply is a far more urgent issue than for most of north west Europe. However, because – with the exception of Romania – there […]
This article presents an overview of the impact of the current world economic crisis on natural gas markets in Russia and the CIS. It will discuss two types of changes that reflect broader international trends. First are the initial consequences of the recession that was triggered by the US financial crisis of September 2008: sharp […]
Since at least 2006, concern has been expressed by a number of commentators, both western and Russian, that Gazprom has not invested in future production sufficiently to guarantee that it can meet its market obligations and, particularly, its long term contract export obligations to European customers.1 This argument runs that, although Gazprom may have huge […]
In this presentation, Christopher Allsopp and Bassam Fattouh discuss the recent rise in oil prices to around $135 per barrel, arguing that the diminution of feedbacks has destabilised long term expectations of oil prices. This has resulted in an unlocking of the back end of the futures curve, leading to ‘indeterminacy’ and great uncertainty about […]
The IMF’s most recent World Economic Outlook (IMF 2007) contains a box entitled “Understanding the Link Between Oil Prices and the World Economy”. In our view the analysis is misleading, and likely to confuse rather than clarify the question of the relationship between demand, supply, oil prices, and the world economy.
In this presentation, Dr Bassam Fattouh discusses three main approaches for analyzing oil prices: non-structural models, the supply-demand framework, and the informal approach. While non-structural models rely on the theory of exhaustible resources as the basis for understanding the oil market, the supply-demand framework uses behavioural equations that link oil demand and supply to its […]
For 2005, total United States natural gas consumption as reported by the US Energy Information Administration (USEIA)2 was just below 22 Tcf3, which was about 1 Tcf less than the historic high of 23 Tcf reached in 2000. At roughly 19 Tcf, the total figure for marketed production reported by USEIA was lower than the […]
Arab countries have 56% and 30% of the world’s conventional oil and gas reserves respectively. In 2003 they accounted for over 30% of world oil and NGL production, 11% of gas production, 16% of gas exports and 37% of LNG trade. This hydrocarbon endowment and rapidly expanding role in oil and gas trade conveys onto […]
This presentation was given by Dr Robert Skinner in August of this year at the Comisión de Investigación de los Precios del Petróleo in Querétaro, Mexico.
This presentation was given by Professor Jonathan Stern at the Symposium on the European Natural Gas Market, AER/CPB/ECN, The Hague.
A new OIES paper on outlook of Russia’s gas productive capacity: ruble depreciation in 2015-18 helped Gazprom turn… https://t.co/BFnUnoazVe
Shrinking surplus – the outlook for Russia’s spare gas productive capacity https://t.co/25GVSHw2Qo
Rogers on Pacific Coast LNG plans and Shell’s approval to construct a $30 billion export terminal in British Columb… https://t.co/koheAUcCNa