The following provides summaries of the research in progress by staff of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies. The Institute’s unique multidisciplinary expertise allows it to examine the economics, the politics and the sociology of energy with a focus on oil and natural gas.
The specific subjects of research in progress, while set within these broad lines, necessarily reflects the particular research capacities, skills and interests of the research fellows.
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The OIES research on decarbonising energy markets has identified particular threats to gas networks from both declining demand for gas and a failure to adapt to new requirements in a low carbon world. Gas networks represent a huge, sunk cost asset and with the right mix of investment and incentives they could play a significant […]
This research follows earlier papers on the demand outlook for LNG as a marine fuel (Le Fevre, 2013 and 2018 and Sharples, 2019) and seeks to meet the following objectives: To summarise the main commercial and environmental factors underpinning the case for natural gas in road transportation including an assessment of the potential impact of […]
Nigeria has immense hydrocarbon wealth and took over 20 years to reach FID on Nigeria LNG. In 10 years after FID, Nigeria LNG surpassed 20 Mtpa of production becoming at one time the 3rd largest global producer. The country spent over a decade pursuing an ambitious Nigerian Gas Master Plan with a massive planned expansion […]
Russia is set to become one of the four major players in the global LNG market, with the US, Australia and Qatar. The drive behind this important strategic move is Novatek, which has become the country’s LNG champion with significant support from the Kremlin. This research will outline the key projects in the growth of […]
As European imports of Russian gas have reached historical highs since 2016, it has become increasingly important to consider the routes by which that gas is delivered, the extent to which those routes are fully utilised, and the related question of how much spare capacity remains in the system, particularly at times of peak flows. […]
The global gas balance is continuously shifting, as demand fluctuates, and new LNG export and import terminals are brought online. Using the OIES Global Gas Model, this research tracks developments in the supply-demand balance, including both ongoing trends in demand relative to the existing supply infrastructure, and likely future developments in terms of both predicted […]
Brian Songhurst is preparing an update on his previous publications covering floating liquefaction (NG107) published in 2016 and floating storage and regas terminals (NG123) published in 2017. This will provide information on recent developments including some that were covered in the previous papers but have now been cancelled and why. The update paper will also address some of […]
Policy targets on complete decarbonization of the electricity sector have significant implications for the role of gas in the future electricity mix. Historical data from Europe shows that renewables have increased most rapidly within electricity in those countries which had the highest ability to integrate them, primarily through the presence of fossil fuel backup. However, […]
This research aims to examine whether natural gas can and will become a much more substantial energy source in Taiwan. An assessment will be conducted on Taiwan’s policy and regulatory frameworks for market liberalisation, LNG trade and energy innovation (especially biogas, biomethane, Power-to-Gas (P2G) and other storage technologies). It seeks to anticipate new patterns in […]
The impact of shale gas on global energy markets is now well known, but this paper looks to extend the analysis by assessing the likely longevity of the trend and the potential breakeven cost for deliveries to Europe and Asia. Using an updated analysis of the shale gas potential in the US, the author will […]
There has been much focus on the downward trend of total gas demand in Europe since the late 2000s and specifically in the power sector. In contrast, the industrial sector has received relatively little attention on a pan-European basis. The main unknown is whether the downward trend seen since the early 2000s, and especially post-financial […]
The Central European gas market is going through a period of substantial change and uncertainty, and this is a challenging environment for the countries and companies involved in these gas markets. This paper will explore the specific situation of the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Poland. The power sector’s share in gas demand in Central Europe […]
Changes to the ‘Dated Brent’ benchmark: more to come https://t.co/gW10n8rPMi
March 21st
New OIES paper looks at LNG projects vying for FID in 2019-20, reviews 5 areas, costs and competitiveness, and the… https://t.co/pz3UDcUcQU
March 20th
Outlook for Competitive LNG Supply https://t.co/qmG43CklMw
March 20th
