Tag: Oil

  • China and IMO 2020

    By: Michal Meidan

    Shippers and refiners have been actively preparing for the IMO transition and engaged in a lively debate on how it would play out, and since the second half of 2019, making active preparations for it. Chinese refiners, however, seem to have been less preoccupied with it than their Western peers. This may seem surprising given […]

  • Sanctions, Shipping, and Oil Markets

    By: Adi Imsirovic , Michal Meidan

    In just over a week, the theoretical cost of taking a barrel of oil from the Gulf to Asia, in the cheapest possible way, rose by $6 per barrel. At a time when refinery margins are in single digits, this is a major blow to refinery profitability. The US administration’s decision to sanction two subsidiaries […]

  • China’s energy security at 70

    By: Michal Meidan

    As China celebrated the 70th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) on 1 October 2019, it seems to have gone full circle back to its 1949 assessments of the US: “a greedy and violent nation, struggling to remain the wealthiest and strongest on earth”. For the first two decades of […]

  • Glimpses of China’s energy future

    By: Michal Meidan

    China’s largest oil and gas major, China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC), released its 2050 outlook in late August. This coincides with preliminary work currently being undertaken by domestic think tanks, state-owned enterprises, and ministries ahead of the 14th Five-Year Plan (FYP, which will run from 2021 to 2025). While the CNPC report is by no […]

  • The Future of Russian Oil Production in the Short, Medium, and Long Term

    By: James Henderson , Ekaterina Grushevenko

    This paper analyses the history of oil production in Russia since 2016, including the impact of the OPEC+ agreements, and then looks at the short-term outlook for the period to 2025 from existing assets and known new fields. It then assesses the potential of a number of new areas for production growth, namely enhanced production […]

  • Why China will keep importing Iranian crude, but volumes will remain limited

    By: Michal Meidan

    On 22 July, 2019, US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced the US’s decision to impose sanctions on a Chinese trader, Zhuhai Zhenrong, and its chief executive for ‘knowingly purchasing or acquiring oil from Iran, contrary to US sanctions’. While the US State Department’s decision to designate a Chinese entity may be seen as a sign […]

  • US-China Trade Tensions: Here we go again

    By: Michal Meidan

    The brief reprieve in the US-China tariff tit-for-tat seems to be coming to an end following Donald Trump’s tweet on 1 August, threatening to impose 10 per cent tariffs on $300 billion-worth of Chinese imports effective 1 September 2019. The announcement led to a steep fall in oil prices, as markets fear that the escalating […]

  • US-China: The Great Decoupling

    By: Michal Meidan

    Markets have been watching with bated breath the ups and downs in bilateral negotiations between the US and China as the two sides seek to resolve a tariff tit-for-tat that has escalated into a trade war. But what many observers may have failed to notice is that the negotiating process has also laid bare a […]

  • The Evolution and Prospects of Saudi Arabia – Russia Oil Relations: A Saudi Perspective

    By: Bassam Fattouh

    One of the major features of the latest oil price cycle has been the strengthened relationship and close coordination between two of the world’s largest oil producers: Russia and Saudi Arabia. This presentation analyses the evolution of Russia-Saudi Arabia oil relations and the prospects of this relationship from a Saudi perspective, by answering the following […]

  • Policy Considerations Around India’s Upstream Reforms

    By: Anupama Sen

    India’s government is attempting to revive investments in its upstream sector, following several years of decline. These efforts are focused on achieving a policy objective of reducing energy imports by 10 per cent over current levels by 2022. Following an auction of marginal fields held by its National Oil Companies (NOCs) in 2016, an open […]

  • A Review of the Evolution of the Japanese Oil Industry, Oil Policy and its Relationship with the Middle East

    By: Loftur Thorarinsson

    The Japanese oil industry and oil policy are undergoing a major transformation due to decreased oil demand and industry rationalization. As recently, as 1997 oil imports in Japan exceeded 5.7 Mb/d making the country the second largest oil consumer in the world. The oil industry itself was highly fragmented and comprised for former national oil […]

  • Disruptive Change in the Transport Sector – Eight Key Takeaways

    By: OIES

    The Oxford Institute for Energy Studies held a Work​shop – the first of a series – on ‘Disruptive Change in the Transport Sector’ in relation to its impact on energy use in private transport. Participants included experts from the energy, auto, mobility, and technology sectors. This document summarises eight key takeaways from the Workshop discussions: Despite many government announcements […]