Research

The following provides summaries of the research in progress by staff of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies. The Institute’s unique multidisciplinary expertise allows it to examine the economics, the politics and the sociology of energy with a focus on oil and natural gas.

The specific subjects of research in progress, while set within these broad lines, necessarily reflects the particular research capacities, skills and interests of the research fellows.

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  • India’s Oil Demand Growth: Have the Drivers Changed?

    By: Anupama Sen

    Following record high oil demand growth in 2015 (303,000 b/d) and 2016 (380,000 b/d), India’s demand growth in 2017 has been variable, falling by 89,000 b/d in the first quarter, recovering to 103,000 b/d in the second quarter, and witnessing the largest drop since 2003 in August, before recovering in September. Barring widespread flooding in […]

  • Analysis of the issues raised in the Helm Review

    By: Malcolm Keay

    The Helm Review of The Cost of Energy (which in practice focused on electricity) was published in October 2017.  It contained a penetrating analysis of the political and technical challenges facing the UK electricity industry and a number of radical proposals for reform.  In doing so it raised some fundamental issues about the industry’s future, […]

  • The role of auctions in electricity systems

    By: Malcolm Keay , David Robinson

    Auctions are increasingly being used for the procurement of new services and resources within electricity systems.  For instance, auctions are now a standard means of promoting renewables; capacity auctions are being introduced in many countries; tenders for specialised services (like black start and frequency response) are commonly employed by grid operators; and the recent Helm […]

  • The role of centralised coordination in electricity markets

    By: Rahmat Poudineh

    It is well accepted that markets are the most effective arena for organising productive activities. In the liberalisation of electricity sectors the role for government was envisioned as that of the “night watchman” that intervenes in the market only when the latter fails to allocate scare resources efficiently or when the operation of the market […]

  • A review of demand prospects for Natural Gas as a transport fuel

    By: Chris N Le Fevre

    In 2014, OIES published a paper in on the prospects for gas in the transportation sector with particular focus on Europe. This paper will update that research and take a global perspective with particular focus on using LNG in the marine sector where environmental restrictions are pushing ship owners and operators to consider alternatives to […]

  • The Outlook for Nigerian Gas

    By: Claudio Steuer

    This paper will analyse the largest current exporter of LNG in Africa and will provide an assessment of likely future exports to world markets as well as the internal dynamics of gas sales in West Africa. It will assess the latest regulation in Nigeria concerning gas developments and exports, and will consider the country’s aspirations […]

  • North American LNG

    By: Howard Rogers

    The impact of shale gas on global energy markets is now well known, but this paper looks to extend the analysis by assessing the likely longevity of the trend and the potential breakeven cost for deliveries to Europe and Asia. Using an updated analysis of the shale gas potential in the US, the author will […]

  • The Chinese Gas Market

    By: Michael Xiaobao Chen , Stephen O'Sullivan , Jinfeng Sun

    The direction of the Chinese gas market, both from a supply and demand perspective, will be vital in establishing the future shape of the global gas market. In a series of papers the Natural Gas Programme will be analysing the upstream potential for gas production in China (conventional and unconventional), the impact of policy measures […]

  • The Outlook for Egyptian Gas

    By: Mostefa Ouki

    This paper will assess the supply and demand of gas in Egypt, and will analyse the potential for gas exports to resume. Rising gas demand, encouraged by low domestic prices, combined with a downturn in supply, caused by the volatile political situation, has led to Egypt becoming a gas importer rather than an important LNG […]

  • Investigating the Relevance of Market Model Power Sector Reforms – 30 Years On

    By: Anupama Sen , Rahmat Poudineh , Catrina Godinho , Anton Eberhard

    This paper provides a critical review of the economic basis of the OECD power sector model, interrogating its relevance for desired sector outcomes in both developed and developing countries. The paper finds that the OECD model – as well as the related non-OECD standard model – has not been implemented in its ideal form in […]

  • Oil and gas in a new Libyan era: conflict and continuity

    By: Richard Barltrop

    Libya has long been an idiosyncratic political and governance context for the oil and gas industry. Since independence in 1951 the country has passed through sharply contrasting periods of politics and governance, each of which has intentionally and unintentionally shaped the industry. In the latest period, since 2011, armed conflict and insecurity – rather than […]

  • Industrial Gas Use in Europe

    By: Anouk Honoré

    There has been much focus on the downward trend of total gas demand in Europe since the late 2000s and specifically in the power sector. In contrast, the industrial sector has received relatively little attention on a pan-European basis. The main unknown is whether the downward trend seen since the early 2000s, and especially post-financial […]

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