The results of OIES research is published as working papers, energy comments, presentations and articles as well as commercially published books and monographs. The views expressed in all OIES publications are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies or any of its Members.
The conventional wisdom about the current behaviour of oil prices is essentially very simple. It is comprised of two assertions and then an inference. It runs as foIlows. First, there is no physical shortage in oil markets. Secondly, there is no stockbuilding (or “hoarding”) at least not by the important oil companies. The price rises […]
Whenever an oil crisis occurs one can be sure that calls for the replacement of oil by other sources of energy will receive renewed attention. This is, of course, whoUy admirable and should not have to wait upon crises. The present situation in the Gulf is already giving rise to equally predictable demands for more […]
Modelling of oil exploration and extraction is a formidable undertaking and involves important economic, geological, and political considerations. The modelling task is further complicated by the largely non-quantifiable uncertainties that generally surround the future movements of oil prices and discovery of new oilfields. As a result there are very few serious econo-metric studies of oil […]
This paper formulates a trading game in a productive natural resource like oil. Though simple, the model developed here will highlight the role of binding long-term agreements and will show that in their absence equilibria are inefficient. Clifford and Crawford (1987) have recently emphasized this point in the context of trade in natural resources. A […]
Over the past decade or so, a good deal of the conceptual work on exhaustible resources has directed some attention to the problem of uncertainty. As Notelling (1931) illustrated early on, even the simplest problems of exhaustible resource management are inherently dynamic. It is thus hardly surprising that an uncertain future should be a pressing […]
It is often argued informally that demand responses to the major oil price increases of 1973 and 1979 were still not complete several years after the events. The evidence, moreover, is that the long-run price elasticity of demand exceeds the short-run price elasticity, both for energy aggregates and individual energy carriers (see Kouris, 1983, for […]
The double squeeze on OPEC’s oil ouput caused by a fall in the world demand for oil and a rapid growth in non-OPEC supplies is preventing this organization from performing a price stablization role . The current oil price crisis is the consequence of these developments.
The recent history of the informal market f o r North Sea Brent blend has been of great interest to those studying commodity markets in general and the oil market in particular . Two aspects of this market gives it this important position. First, the very rapid growth inactivity in the Brent market means that […]
The recent dramatic fall in the price of crude oil has focussed attention on the relationship between crude oil prices and retail gasoline prices in the UK. The central issue is that of how long it normally takes for the fall in costs to be felt in a fall in final prices. The purpose of […]
The OPEC price escalations of 1973-74 and 1979-80 have had a crucial effect on the world economy and on international trade. Non-OPEC countries have had t o adjust to higher petroleum prices. They have tried to develop alternative energy resources and have invested in various energy conservation measures.
OIES study on Russia’s refining system reviewed: Plans for further additions of more complex refining units have be… https://t.co/GTmB7XB5g0
New OIES paper on Russian refining sector and fuel oil exports: From 2015, as a result of new export tax policies,… https://t.co/2OFbXIbbUX
Russia’s heavy fuel oil exports: challenges and changing rules at home and abroad https://t.co/cDMQaw7xP9