The results of OIES research is published as working papers, energy comments, presentations and articles as well as commercially published books and monographs. The views expressed in all OIES publications are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies or any of its Members.
Nowadays, oil market observers often start their analysis by pointing to two sets of factors pushing the oil price in opposite directions. On the one hand, supply outages from Iran and Venezuela and the rising geopolitical risks in the Middle East as US-Iran tensions escalate are keeping an upward pressure on the oil price. On […]
The context surrounding East Med gas has fundamentally changed over the past few years in terms of the geopolitics, the gas market fundamentals, market structure, pricing structure, and the challenges facing the oil and gas industry and utilities. This short presentation discusses the changing global context for gas markets and the impact on the development […]
The LNG business is in a period of considerable change as it moves from a structured to a traded market. The entry of new players has resulted in a more flexible value chain model, where the bilateral linkages between suppliers and buyers are no longer ‘fixed’. The increase in spot purchases and short-term trading has […]
In the second half of 2018, the oil market exhibited high volatility not only in terms of price levels but also time spreads and quality spreads. After reaching highs of $81/b and $71/b in October, monthly Brent and WTI prices ended the year in December at $57/b and $49/b respectively. At the same time, time […]
Oil market sentiment has turned very bearish over the last few weeks. The Brent price has fallen from highs of above $80/barrel in October to currently trading close to $60/barrel, global economic prospects have become highly uncertain, Saudi Arabia’s production is at record level of above 11.1 mb/d in November, Russia and other OPEC+ members […]
One of the major features of the latest oil price cycle has been the strengthened relationship and close coordination between two of the world’s largest oil producers: Russia and Saudi Arabia. This presentation analyses the evolution of Russia-Saudi Arabia oil relations and the prospects of this relationship from a Saudi perspective, by answering the following […]
This presentation given at the Centre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) discusses OPEC output cycles over the period 2008-2018 and how they have shaped the oil market outlook. It also outlines the main factors behind the rebalancing of the oil market and analyses the main trends shaping oil price outcomes in the short-term. The presentation concludes […]
This presentation and speech, was given by Bassam Fattouh at the Eleventh Arab Energy Conference, Marrakesh, Morocco, 1-4 October 2018, on Arab oil exporters’ diversification strategies in the context of the global energy transition. Speech – Economic diversification in the context of the energy transition
In his presentation, given at the recent Argus conference in Paris, Thierry Bros presents not only the LNG tightness indicator devised with Argus, but also the new European narrative for gas as explained in the last two OIES Quarterly Gas Reviews: 1/more coal to gas switching in Europe if the energy efficiency boost witnessed in […]
This presentation discusses the oil market outlook for 2018 and 2019. It outlines the main factors behind the rebalancing of the oil market, including stronger than expected global oil demand growth and strong OPEC cohesion (caused in part due to involuntary cuts). The presentation then analyses the main trends shaping oil price outcomes in the […]
Economic diversification has been a key developmental goal for the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) oil producers for decades as evidenced in their various national development plans. Some countries have made progress over the last few decades in diversifying their economic base and their sources of income. But despite these efforts, most indicators of […]
In a global gas market, LNG provides diversification and optionality both for producers and consumers. In this presentation, an LNG tightness indicator, designed with the help of Argus Media, is used to aid our understanding of gas markets dynamics, as well as spare capacity calculations published in the first OIES quarterly gas review.
OIES is pleased to announce that Tatiana Mitrova has joined its team working on the energy transition and Russia energy scene.
Could we see $2 gas in Europe in 2020? https://t.co/Qux0RekoW6
Anouk Honoré on gas demand and LNG in Europe: With regasification terminals only being used at about 28 per cent of… https://t.co/BWS6XLhJIe
OIES study on China’s energy security quoted: The preliminary conclusion for China from these tumultuous few weeks… https://t.co/1kuGFzOQWA