The results of OIES research is published as working papers, energy comments, presentations and articles as well as commercially published books and monographs. The views expressed in all OIES publications are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies or any of its Members.
In a recent paper H. Pesaran (1990) has developed an econometric model for the analysis of the exploration and extraction policies of “price taking” suppliers of oil and has applied it to the UK Continental Shelf (UKCS) . The model takes explicit account of the process of oil discovery and of the intertemporal nature of […]
Modelling of oil exploration and extraction is a formidable undertaking and involves important economic, geological, and political considerations. The modelling task is further complicated by the largely non-quantifiable uncertainties that generally surround the future movements of oil prices and discovery of new oilfields. As a result there are very few serious econo-metric studies of oil […]
Over the past decade or so, a good deal of the conceptual work on exhaustible resources has directed some attention to the problem of uncertainty. As Notelling (1931) illustrated early on, even the simplest problems of exhaustible resource management are inherently dynamic. It is thus hardly surprising that an uncertain future should be a pressing […]
The recent history of the informal market f o r North Sea Brent blend has been of great interest to those studying commodity markets in general and the oil market in particular . Two aspects of this market gives it this important position. First, the very rapid growth inactivity in the Brent market means that […]
The recent dramatic fall in the price of crude oil has focussed attention on the relationship between crude oil prices and retail gasoline prices in the UK. The central issue is that of how long it normally takes for the fall in costs to be felt in a fall in final prices. The purpose of […]
The OPEC price escalations of 1973-74 and 1979-80 have had a crucial effect on the world economy and on international trade. Non-OPEC countries have had t o adjust to higher petroleum prices. They have tried to develop alternative energy resources and have invested in various energy conservation measures.
In 1974 the thirteen OPEC countries suddenly received record oil revenues of $114 billion . The disposal of that income was as follows: 35% was used to finance imports of goods – mainly consumer goods and the remainder – the current account surplus – was placed abroad, mainly in the form of bank deposits (see […]
The major increases in oil prices during the 1970s caused many changes in the socio-economic map of the Middle East, including substantially increased financial flows to and from the oil economies. In a short time, the oil exporters became also capital exporters. Some of the financial institutions managing these flows had to establish a presence […]
The economic development of the Arab region in recent years has become heavily dependent on the fortunes of oil . The sudden and significant increases in oil prices and revenues of 1973/74 and 1979180 have had a considerable impact on the levels and patterns of economic development in the oil-exporting and in the non-oil countries […]
In modelling the behaviour of oil-exporting countries it is usually assumed that the objective is to maximize the present value of oil revenues evaluated at a vector of market clearing prices. Given the various assumptions on the relevant parameters (initial reserves, demand etc) and the market structure, this exercise gives an extraction policy or, what […]
This paper is an investigation into the relation between crude oil prices and the prices of the products made from refining crude oil . Commentators on the oil market often focus on a measure of the difference between t h e “value” of the oil once converted into products and the cost of the crude […]
Our purpose in writing this paper is to relax two assumptions which dominate the theory of exhaustible resources and examine the implications for the stability of equilibrium. The first assumption postulates that a complete set of forward markets exists. The second postulates that asset and spot commodity markets clear instantaneously.
OIES is pleased to announce that Tatiana Mitrova has joined its team working on the energy transition and Russia energy scene.
Could we see $2 gas in Europe in 2020? https://t.co/Qux0RekoW6
Anouk Honoré on gas demand and LNG in Europe: With regasification terminals only being used at about 28 per cent of… https://t.co/BWS6XLhJIe
OIES study on China’s energy security quoted: The preliminary conclusion for China from these tumultuous few weeks… https://t.co/1kuGFzOQWA