Chikako Ishiguro

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                    [post_date] => 2012-06-15 09:44:40
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                    [post_content] => The earthquake and tsunami which left its toll of destruction and the tragic loss of life on Japan’s eastern seaboard on 11th March 2011 was a natural disaster of the highest order.  This working paper addresses methodically and in detail the extent of the impact of the events of 11th March 2011 on Japan’s energy complex and describes how, through higher utilisation of fossil fuel plant and enforced and voluntary demand conservation measures, the country has coped with this unprecedented reduction in generation capacity.

Looking forward, the key uncertainty is the policy-driven path of future nuclear generation. It is in this context that the paper provides a timely and robust evaluation of Japan’s future LNG import requirements based on a range of scenarios regarding the future utilisation of operable nuclear power facilities. Importantly the paper also analyses the strong growth in industrial consumption of LNG in the period prior to 2011 and identifies this as a continuing source of demand growth tempered perhaps by the prevailing linkage of imported LNG prices to crude oil.

Compared to the 2010 LNG consumptions levels of 69.8 million tonnes, the paper shows a range for 2015 from 75.5 to 84.8 million tonnes, and for 2020 78.1 to 88.7 million tonnes, depending on decisions to re-start nuclear plant.
                    [post_title] => A realistic perspective on Japan’s LNG Demand  after Fukushima
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                    [post_content] => Propelled in part by rising awareness of environmental issues, natural gas consumption is growing strongly in the Asia-Pacific region; while annual world growth averaged 2.7 per cent over the ten years from 1997 to 2007, consumption in the region soared 5.9 per cent.3 Trade in natural gas in this region revolves mainly around liquefied natural gas (LNG) which almost doubled from 61.73 million tons to 112.43 million tons over the same period.
                    [post_title] => A New Paradigm for Natural Gas Pricing in Asia: A Perspective on Market Value
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                    [post_content] => There are numerous LNG terminal projects both planned and proposed in the coastal regions of China where the economy has been rapidly expanding. While the Chinese government has adopted a policy of siting one such project in each coastal province, a simple calculation indicates that, with construction of only about eight LNG-receiving terminals1, each with a capacity of about 3 million tons per year, this policy would give China a total of around 24 million tons in terminal capacity. Assuming that each of these projects proceeds to the second phase and is consequently expanded to around 6 million tons, the combined import capacity would be close to 50 million tons. Such a dramatic rise in LNG imports by a single country would have substantial impacts on the international LNG market.
                    [post_title] => Pricing and Demand for LNG in China: Consistency between LNG and Pipeline Gas in a Fast Growing Market
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            [post_content] => The earthquake and tsunami which left its toll of destruction and the tragic loss of life on Japan’s eastern seaboard on 11th March 2011 was a natural disaster of the highest order.  This working paper addresses methodically and in detail the extent of the impact of the events of 11th March 2011 on Japan’s energy complex and describes how, through higher utilisation of fossil fuel plant and enforced and voluntary demand conservation measures, the country has coped with this unprecedented reduction in generation capacity.

Looking forward, the key uncertainty is the policy-driven path of future nuclear generation. It is in this context that the paper provides a timely and robust evaluation of Japan’s future LNG import requirements based on a range of scenarios regarding the future utilisation of operable nuclear power facilities. Importantly the paper also analyses the strong growth in industrial consumption of LNG in the period prior to 2011 and identifies this as a continuing source of demand growth tempered perhaps by the prevailing linkage of imported LNG prices to crude oil.

Compared to the 2010 LNG consumptions levels of 69.8 million tonnes, the paper shows a range for 2015 from 75.5 to 84.8 million tonnes, and for 2020 78.1 to 88.7 million tonnes, depending on decisions to re-start nuclear plant.
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Latest Publications by Chikako Ishiguro

Latest Tweets from @OxfordEnergy

  • Novatek will be Russia's LNG leader while Gazprom will focus on pipeline projects, OIES via @AAEnergyNews https://t.co/JOB85QXAyc

    March 23rd

  • With Algerian oil & gas revenues declining, state is entitled to look into how #Sonatrach operates - @thierry_bros https://t.co/kBH39V03o3

    March 23rd

  • A new OIES study on Russian LNG: Only Novatek has LNG as core business & its future dependent on export business… https://t.co/hqO0mVgaID

    March 23rd

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