Akira Miyamoto

Executive Researcher, Energy Resources and International Business Unit

Osaka Gas Co., Ltd.

akira-miyamoto@osakagas.co.jp

Contact

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                    [post_content] => The outlook for gas demand in China is one of the most important questions facing the global gas market, as it will have significant consequences for gas producers and consumers across the world. The rapid rise in China’s gas demand has been catalysed by environmental concerns, in particular air quality, in the country’s major cities and the authors of this report, Akira Miyamoto and Chikako Ishiguro, provide a detailed analysis of the progress that has been made in introducing environmental legislation to pursue the goal of cleaning up China’s skies. They consider the impact that this has had on gas consumption in China over the past decade before analysing the major goals of the Blue Sky Action Plan and outlining its potential consequences for gas demand over the next two to three years.
                    [post_title] => The Outlook for Natural Gas and LNG in China in the War against Air Pollution
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                    [post_content] => The earthquake and tsunami which left its toll of destruction and the tragic loss of life on Japan’s eastern seaboard on 11th March 2011 was a natural disaster of the highest order.  This working paper addresses methodically and in detail the extent of the impact of the events of 11th March 2011 on Japan’s energy complex and describes how, through higher utilisation of fossil fuel plant and enforced and voluntary demand conservation measures, the country has coped with this unprecedented reduction in generation capacity.

Looking forward, the key uncertainty is the policy-driven path of future nuclear generation. It is in this context that the paper provides a timely and robust evaluation of Japan’s future LNG import requirements based on a range of scenarios regarding the future utilisation of operable nuclear power facilities. Importantly the paper also analyses the strong growth in industrial consumption of LNG in the period prior to 2011 and identifies this as a continuing source of demand growth tempered perhaps by the prevailing linkage of imported LNG prices to crude oil.

Compared to the 2010 LNG consumptions levels of 69.8 million tonnes, the paper shows a range for 2015 from 75.5 to 84.8 million tonnes, and for 2020 78.1 to 88.7 million tonnes, depending on decisions to re-start nuclear plant.
                    [post_title] => A realistic perspective on Japan’s LNG Demand  after Fukushima
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                    [post_content] => Propelled in part by rising awareness of environmental issues, natural gas consumption is growing strongly in the Asia-Pacific region; while annual world growth averaged 2.7 per cent over the ten years from 1997 to 2007, consumption in the region soared 5.9 per cent.3 Trade in natural gas in this region revolves mainly around liquefied natural gas (LNG) which almost doubled from 61.73 million tons to 112.43 million tons over the same period.
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                    [post_content] => There are numerous LNG terminal projects both planned and proposed in the coastal regions of China where the economy has been rapidly expanding. While the Chinese government has adopted a policy of siting one such project in each coastal province, a simple calculation indicates that, with construction of only about eight LNG-receiving terminals1, each with a capacity of about 3 million tons per year, this policy would give China a total of around 24 million tons in terminal capacity. Assuming that each of these projects proceeds to the second phase and is consequently expanded to around 6 million tons, the combined import capacity would be close to 50 million tons. Such a dramatic rise in LNG imports by a single country would have substantial impacts on the international LNG market.
                    [post_title] => Pricing and Demand for LNG in China: Consistency between LNG and Pipeline Gas in a Fast Growing Market
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Latest Publications by Akira Miyamoto

Books by Akira Miyamoto

Latest Tweets from @OxfordEnergy

  • New OIES study on China’s use of Natural Gas, LNG to tackle air pollution: As of August 2018, China had 18 receivin… https://t.co/XIqu9VqDxT

    December 11th

  • New OIES study on China’s use of natural gas and LNG to tackle air pollution: Natural gas has witnessed growth in a… https://t.co/s0ZlK3iQAp

    December 11th

  • The Outlook for Natural Gas and LNG in China in the War against Air Pollution https://t.co/8whN19JPBl

    December 10th

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