Russian and CIS Gas Markets and their Impact on Europe
Editor: Simon Pirani
Many concerned with the natural gas industry think of the former Soviet Union in the first place as a producer and exporter. Reserves in Russia and central Asia are among the world’s largest. Russia’s exports to Europe, and the disputes over getting them there, are vital themes. But the former Soviet Union is also a major consumer of gas: aggregate consumption in the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) – the area on which this book focuses – is greater than that of the European Union. Cross-border trade between CIS states runs at about 100 bcm/year, i.e. more than half the volume of the CIS’s net exports. The purpose of this book is to describe the changes in natural gas production, transportation, trade and consumption in the CIS, concentrating on the period since 2000, and to discuss likely directions of development up to 2015.
A book dealing with gas markets not only in Russia but in the CIS as a whole could not be more timely. The 2006 Russia-Ukraine and 2007 Russia-Belarus “gas wars” highlighted the importance of those countries for EU gas supplies. The death of the Turkmen president in December 2006, and the resulting changes in government, was a reminder of the potential fragility of Central Asian gas contracts with Russia and other potential customers. The development of gas production and gas markets in Caspian and Caucasus countries will be of substantial importance to any “fourth corridor” through which additional gas supplies might flow to Europe – but opening up such a corridor is fraught with difficulties, which were sharply underlined by the Russia-Georgia military conflict of August 2008.
Introduction. Political and economic factors in the Russian and CIS gas trade. By Simon Pirani
1. Natural gas in transition: systemic reform issues. By Tatiana Mitrova
2. The Russian gas balance to 2015: difficult years ahead. By Jonathan Stern
3. Ukraine: a gas dependent state. By Simon Pirani
4. Belarus: the domestic gas market and relations with Russia. By Katja Yafimava
5. Moldova’s gas sector. By Chloe Bruce and Katja Yafimava
6. Azerbaijan: from gas importer to gas exporter. By Julian Bowden
7. Armenia’s gas markets. By Armen Yeghiazaryan
8. Georgia’s gas sector. By Micheil Tokmazishvili
9. Turkmenistan: an exporter in transition.
10. Kazakhstan’s gas sector. By Shamil Yenikeyeff
11. Uzbekistan: a domestically oriented producer. By Stanislav Zhukov
12. Russia, the CIS and Europe: gas trade and transit. By Tatiana Mitrova, Simon Pirani and Jonathan Stern
Conclusions. By Simon Pirani
Julian Bowden works for BP in a natural gas business development role, focusing on the Caspian region. His previous experience with BP was mostly in downstream oil, and European and Russian downstream oil markets in particular. His publications include journal articles on the history of the Russo-British oil trade
Chloe Bruce is completing a doctoral dissertation on the politics of the CIS natural gas trade at the University of Vienna. She previously worked as a journalist for Gas Matters, the international industry newsletter, and as an editor for the Economist Intelligence Unit. Her publications include articles on Moldovan and Belarussian gas markets in scholarly journals
Tatiana Mitrova is the head of the Center for International Energy Markets Studies at the Energy Research Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences. She has been studying Russian, CIS and European energy market development for the last 13 years. In 2006 she worked as an expert in the Energy Security Group of the Steering Committee for the Russian Federation’s G8 presidency
Simon Pirani is a Senior Research Fellow at the Oxford Institute of Energy Studies. He writes about energy, politics and the economy of the former Soviet Union as a journalist, and is author of a monograph on Soviet history, The Russian Revolution in Retreat (2008)
Jonathan Stern is Director of Gas Research at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, Honorary Professor at the Centre for Energy, Petroleum & Mineral Law & Policy, University of Dundee, Visiting Professor at Imperial College’s Centre for Environmental Policy and an Associate Fellow of Chatham House. He is author of many books on natural gas issues, most recently Natural Gas in Asia, 2nd Edition (2008)
Micheil Tokmazishvili serves on the Council of the National Bank and the Economic Council of the President of Georgia. From 1997 to 2005 he headed the Department of Macroeconomics at the Budget Office of the Georgian parliament, and is the author of books and articles on public finance, macroeconomics and international economics
Katja Yafimava is a Junior Research Fellow at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies and is completing a doctoral dissertation on CIS-Europe gas issues. She is author of Post-Soviet Russian-Belarussian Relationships: the Role of Gas Transit Pipelines (2007)
Armen Yeghiazaryan is Associate Professor at Yerevan State University. He has participated in drafting poverty reduction programmes and public expenditure programmes for Armenia, and served as deputy chairman of the State Commission for Economic Reforms and Privatisation and as head of the Department of Economic Reforms in the prime minister’s office. He is the author of books and articles on economics
Shamil Yenikeyeff is a Research Fellow at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies and a Senior Associate Member at the Russian and Eurasian Studies Centre, St Antony’s College, University of Oxford. He studied law and in the 1990s worked as an adviser in the Russian parliament. He is author of The Battle for Russian Oil: Corporations, Regions and the State (2008)
Stanislav Zhukov is a Senior Research Fellow at the Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences. He specialises in the economics of transition and economic growth in post-Soviet states. He is author of books and articles on central Asia, and recently contributor to Kazakhstan’s Oil – the Chance for Development (2006) and External Liberalisation in Asia, Post-Socialist Europe, and Brazil (ed. Lance Taylor, 2006)
Key features:
- The first ever overview of the CIS gas industry and gas markets, and their relevance to Europe
- Written by industry experts with a collective depth of detailed knowledge
Feb 2009
978-0-19-955454-6 |Hardback
£50.00 inc. p&p
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